Summary
Coming out of the July 4th weekend, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney is the clear front-runner in the crowded Republican field of White House hopefuls - though history suggests the early lead in the polls won't necessarily make him a shoo-in at the ballot box.
Polling this far out from the first vote being cast can be a shaky barometer for who will emerge victorious from the grueling primary process. Just ask former House Democratic leader Richard A. Gephardt, former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean and former New York City Mayor Rudolph W. Giuliani - each of whom sprinted out to leads in early polls, only to gas out in the stretch run of the primary contest.See the full content of this document
Extract
; Romney Grabs Momentum, but Race Is Wide Open
"Primary polling the summer before a national election has very little value in terms of predicting the ultimate nominee," said Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports polling. ...
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