Mideast Humpty Dumpty

Summary


A small army of Middle Eastern experts, former ambassadors to Israel and/or Arab capitals, think tank specialists, special envoys under the last five administrations, former secretaries of state, European Union foreign affairs ministers, all have urged rapid resumption of negotiations between Israelis and Palestinians. They perceive a golden opportunity with a near perfect alignment of favorable stars that seem to bode well for peace.

The stars are the peaceful elections for a new Palestinian leader; the prospect of a fresh Likud-Labor coalition in Israel that should temper Prime Minister Ariel Sharon's hawkish policies; a forthcoming Israeli withdrawal from Gaza; and a U.S. president who can rebuild Arab trust since he need not worry about re-election, which means he can afford to displease the powerful Israeli lobby, now under FBI investigation for alleged receipt of top secret Pentagon documents.

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Extract


Mideast Humpty Dumpty

Alas, Middle Eastern political forecasting invariably seems to make astrology look respectable.

After the next round of jaw-jaw, a viable Palestinian state will still be as elusive as before. The Palestinians have a new leader to replace Abu Ammar, the nom de guerre ...

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