Summary
With four months to go before the presidential elections, no sensible person should make even an educated guess of the winner. We don't know much more today than we did a year and a half ago. Back then it was pretty obvious that George Bush was likely to get re- elected if the public judged his handling of Iraq and the war on terror favorably.
If the public judged him poorly on that supreme topic, the Democratic Party nominee was likely to win - unless it nominated a total loser. They avoided that latter contingency at the last moment - by rejecting Howard Dean - and so are prepared to harvest most of the anti-Bush votes that will be available.See the full content of this document
Extract
It's Edwards! ; Kerry Chooses a Running Mate
While there are several obvious minor plusses and minuses that attach to the Edwards selection, Mr. Kerry's chances would be about the same if he had chosen almost any of the top dozen mentioned ...
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